Avranches vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ROM
4 - 3
AVR
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AVR
2 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 1
AVR
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 0
PAC
25%
27%
47%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 1
AVR
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FON
1 - 0
LAV
25%
29%
46%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
PON
2 - 0
FON
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FON
1 - 2
LES
34%
28%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SAU
3 - 0
FON
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 2
FON
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |