Avranches vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
FBB
1 - 2
AVR
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 1
VIL
25%
27%
49%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
ANN
4 - 1
AVR
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 2
ORL
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
RED
2 - 1
AVR
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CHO
0 - 3
STA
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 1
FBB
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 2
CHO
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 4
ANN
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
ORL
0 - 0
CHO
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |