Avranches vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
AVR
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
AVR
5 - 0
LEH
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LEM
0 - 2
AVR
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 0
LUC
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VCH
2 - 2
AVR
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 0
LAV
60%
23%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PON
3 - 0
CAE
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CAE
3 - 0
LES
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +3 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FON
3 - 0
CAE
42%
27%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 3
ROM
25%
24%
52%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |