Avranches U19 vs SA Mérignac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
13º
7º
27
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 0
AVR
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AVR
0 - 4
VER
67%
18%
14%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
AVR
26%
22%
51%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVR
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 2
BOR
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
CHA
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 0
SAM
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
LOR
29%
21%
50%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 0
SAM
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAN
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | +6 |