Avranches U19 vs Lorient U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
13º
7º
56
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ANG
2 - 0
AVR
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 5
NAN
14%
18%
68%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STA
3 - 1
AVR
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 1
ANG
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 1
AVR
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 0
CHA
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 2
LOR
53%
21%
26%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CON
1 - 5
LOR
24%
20%
56%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LOR
4 - 3
STA
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ANG
5 - 2
LOR
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |