Avondale Heights vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avondale Heights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
AVH
4 - 1
DEV
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AVH
1 - 2
BEN
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
AVH
4 - 3
MEL
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 3
AVH
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
AVH
4 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
HEU
4 - 2
SOU
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 4
KIN
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 3
SOU
41%
23%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 3
HEU
23%
23%
54%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 1
HUM
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |