Avondale Heights vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avondale Heights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 1
AVH
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
SOU
4 - 3
AVH
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
AVH
1 - 3
HEU
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AVH
0 - 0
DAC
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
AVH
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 2
OAK
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
DAC
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 1
POR
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
MEL
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DAN
3 - 1
MEL
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |