Avondale Heights vs Hume City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
9º
1º
28
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avondale Heights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AVH
3 - 0
ALM
80%
13%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
POR
2 - 2
AVH
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AVH
0 - 1
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
AVH
2 - 2
BRI
6%
15%
79%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
HEU
1 - 4
AVH
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
HUM
1 - 1
HEU
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 1
HUM
36%
24%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BUS
4 - 0
HUM
12%
17%
70%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
OAK
0 - 1
HUM
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HUM
2 - 1
DAN
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |