Avondale Heights vs Devonport City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avondale Heights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AVH
1 - 2
BEN
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
AVH
4 - 3
MEL
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 3
AVH
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
AVH
4 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
PAS
1 - 2
AVH
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DEV
7 - 1
NOR
90%
8%
3%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 2
DEV
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 3
DEV
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
DEV
3 - 0
HOB
66%
17%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
OLY
0 - 2
DEV
18%
18%
64%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |