Avoine OCC vs Vineuil SF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
14º
13º
17
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
26 | 52 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 49 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 48 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 46 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 45 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 37 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 37 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 33 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 30 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 29 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 23 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 22 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 43% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
78.5% | 42% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avoine OCC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
AVO
2 - 3
UNI
50%
22%
27%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
VIE
1 - 0
AVO
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
AVO
1 - 1
ORL
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CSL
1 - 1
AVO
30%
25%
46%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
AVO
1 - 1
CHA
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vineuil SF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
VSF
1 - 0
CHA
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VSF
0 - 0
TOU
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 2
VSF
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ORL
4 - 0
VSF
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VSF
0 - 2
CSL
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |