Avoine OCC vs Montlouis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
2º
41
4º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avoine OCC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 0
AVO
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 0
AVO
16%
20%
65%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
AVO
27%
25%
49%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AVO
1 - 2
VIE
49%
25%
25%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AVO
1 - 0
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Montlouis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
DRO
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TOU
4 - 1
MON
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
CSL
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 3
MON
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SAI
0 - 1
MON
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |