Avispa Fukuoka vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 0
KYO
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
JUB
0 - 1
AVI
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 2
AVI
48%
28%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 3
SAN
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
AVI
3 - 1
GRU
71%
20%
10%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
VVA
2 - 2
GRU
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
VVA
1 - 1
MON
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
VEN
0 - 1
VVA
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
VVA
0 - 0
BLA
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 3
VVA
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |