Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
AVI
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
AVI
2 - 1
FCT
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
FCY
3 - 0
AVI
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
AVI
1 - 2
URA
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
KAA
2 - 0
AVI
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 0
NAG
65%
21%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
SHO
0 - 2
SAG
35%
26%
40%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
VIS
2 - 2
SAG
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SAG
3 - 2
FCT
28%
27%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
SAG
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |