Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
THE
1 - 2
AVI
19%
25%
56%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
AVI
3 - 1
TOK
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
VEN
2 - 1
AVI
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2005 |
MIT
0 - 0
AVI
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
AVI
0 - 3
CON
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
SAG
0 - 1
CON
42%
29%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
YOK
2 - 2
SAG
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
SAG
0 - 1
MIT
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
SAG
1 - 1
TOK
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
SHO
4 - 3
SAG
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |