Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
VEN
1 - 0
AVI
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
AVI
0 - 0
YOK
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
OMI
2 - 2
AVI
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
AVI
0 - 0
KYO
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
KAW
1 - 0
AVI
75%
15%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mito Hollyhock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
YOK
1 - 1
MIT
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
MIT
0 - 1
KYO
61%
24%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
CON
1 - 2
MIT
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MIT
0 - 1
KAW
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
VEG
4 - 1
MIT
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |