Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
OIT
1 - 0
AVI
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 3
VEN
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 1
TOC
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
OMI
3 - 1
AVI
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FAG
2 - 1
AVI
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 0
KYO
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
TOK
2 - 4
KYO
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
KYO
3 - 1
GIF
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
KYO
0 - 1
KAT
78%
16%
6%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
JUB
1 - 1
KYO
68%
19%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |