Avispa Fukuoka vs Kataller Toyama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
KAR
1 - 0
AVI
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CON
0 - 3
AVI
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
AVI
3 - 1
VEN
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
YOK
2 - 2
AVI
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
AVI
3 - 1
MIT
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
KAT
1 - 3
OIT
24%
29%
46%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GIF
2 - 1
KAT
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
KAT
2 - 0
FAG
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ROA
2 - 0
KAT
54%
24%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
KAT
0 - 0
TOK
41%
29%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |