Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 1
AVI
82%
14%
5%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
TOK
2 - 1
AVI
80%
15%
5%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
AVI
1 - 0
TOK
18%
25%
57%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 1
AVI
74%
18%
8%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
VVA
0 - 1
AVI
72%
19%
9%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
FAG
3 - 2
TOK
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
VVA
3 - 0
FAG
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FAG
0 - 2
SHO
75%
18%
8%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FAG
2 - 1
MON
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
KAM
1 - 1
FAG
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |