Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 1
AVI
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
AVI
2 - 0
TOC
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
MIT
1 - 2
AVI
49%
24%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
TOK
0 - 5
AVI
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
AVI
1 - 0
JEF
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
FAG
2 - 2
KAM
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
KYO
1 - 1
FAG
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
FAG
0 - 0
YOK
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
EHI
2 - 3
FAG
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
FAG
0 - 0
MAT
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |