Bayonne II vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
1.9%
Win probability
0.11
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
0.2%
+1
1.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.1%
0
18.2%
79.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
27%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
29.6%
0-2
24%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0%
-2
25.6%
0-3
14.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
0.2%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayonne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2004 |
AVI
1 - 0
GIR
5%
16%
80%
|
31 | 88 | 57 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
AVI
4 - 4
GUI
7%
16%
78%
|
30 | 80 | 50 | +1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
PSG
6 - 1
MPL
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
PSG
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 2
PSG
47%
27%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
PSG
0 - 0
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
PSG
1 - 0
LIL
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |