Bayonne II vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
77.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 0
GUI
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 1
NAN
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
LMU
2 - 0
GUI
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
GUI
2 - 0
AJA
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
LEN
2 - 1
GUI
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |