Avion vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
AVI
3 - 3
MAN
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 3
AVI
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
AVI
1 - 1
LEH
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
RED
0 - 1
AVI
52%
25%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
AVI
3 - 0
MET
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
QUE
2 - 0
MAN
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
LEH
0 - 1
QUE
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
QUE
4 - 1
MET
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
QUE
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
QUE
1 - 1
CAB
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |