Avion vs PSG II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 3
AVI
40%
28%
32%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 2
COM
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 2
VAL
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ALF
2 - 2
AVI
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 1
DRA
33%
28%
40%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
PSG II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PSG
1 - 1
DUN
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PSG
1 - 2
AUB
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 2
PSG
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PSG
1 - 0
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |