Avion vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
67.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
ISS
2 - 1
AVI
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1994 |
AVI
1 - 4
PSG
13%
25%
62%
|
33 | 88 | 55 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
AVI
1 - 1
RCL
79%
14%
8%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LIL
3 - 0
ASS
49%
27%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
TFC
1 - 0
LIL
37%
29%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LIL
1 - 1
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ASN
2 - 0
LIL
45%
27%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
52%
27%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |