Avion vs Compiègne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 2
AVI
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SEN
2 - 1
AVI
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
AVI
1 - 1
QUE
32%
25%
44%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
AVI
3 - 3
MAN
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 3
AVI
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
COM
2 - 0
SEN
42%
28%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
COM
0 - 1
RED
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
NOI
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
AUB
2 - 0
COM
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |