Avion vs US Boulogne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
30%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AVI
1 - 2
AMI
34%
27%
40%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
AVI
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
AVI
0 - 1
GRA
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
AVI
0 - 0
AIL
71%
17%
13%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
AVI
0 - 1
CAL
46%
26%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
US Boulogne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
BOU
0 - 1
SED
23%
23%
55%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AMI
2 - 2
BOU
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BOU
0 - 2
FEI
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BOU
1 - 1
ARR
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
BOU
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |