Avion vs Aulnoye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 0
AVI
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 0
POI
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
IVR
1 - 1
AVI
69%
19%
13%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 3
LEN
27%
26%
48%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CAB
2 - 1
AVI
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AUL
2 - 1
BOU
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |