Avion vs Aubervilliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CAB
3 - 0
AVI
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
AVI
2 - 1
POI
69%
18%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 3
AVI
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
AVI
2 - 0
DRA
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
COM
1 - 1
AVI
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
POI
2 - 1
AUB
30%
26%
45%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
AUB
2 - 0
DRA
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 1
AUB
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
AUB
1 - 3
QUE
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 1
AUB
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |