Avion vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
AVI
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ESW
0 - 2
AVI
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 1
DIE
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FEI
0 - 1
AVI
45%
26%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 4
AVI
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ARR
3 - 0
BOU
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
AUL
3 - 1
ARR
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AIL
0 - 3
ARR
19%
24%
58%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 0
IRI
37%
26%
38%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SED
1 - 0
ARR
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |