Avilés Stadium vs CD Colunga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
62.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
10º
16º
15º
37
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avilés Stadium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LUA
3 - 2
AVI
54%
23%
23%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 1
UDL
8%
18%
73%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TUI
1 - 0
AVI
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AVI
0 - 1
CEA
22%
24%
54%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RTI
1 - 0
AVI
65%
20%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Colunga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
COL
0 - 0
VAL
77%
16%
7%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 3
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LUA
1 - 1
COL
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
COL
0 - 1
UDL
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
TUI
3 - 5
COL
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |