Avignon AS vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1976 |
ASA
2 - 1
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1976 |
ASS
4 - 0
ASA
87%
9%
4%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
ASA
0 - 0
LEN
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1976 |
MET
1 - 0
ASA
75%
16%
10%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
ASA
1 - 0
REI
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1991 |
AUX
3 - 0
SPO
61%
25%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
LIL
4 - 1
SPO
49%
28%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
SPO
1 - 2
NIC
45%
30%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1991 |
SPO
1 - 1
MPL
35%
31%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
SPO
1 - 0
SOC
39%
31%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |