Avignon AS vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
52.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
LEN
3 - 1
ASA
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
ASA
0 - 1
MET
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
REI
4 - 1
ASA
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
STR
4 - 0
ASA
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 1
BAS
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
ASS
4 - 2
BAS
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
MON
0 - 3
ASS
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
ASS
2 - 0
SOC
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
ASN
0 - 0
ASS
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
ASS
2 - 1
STR
77%
15%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |