Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Aviación Nacional vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aviación Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
AVI
4 - 0
BET
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 79 | 59 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
BET
1 - 1
AVI
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 79 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
SEV
2 - 1
SDC
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
SDC
3 - 4
SEV
27%
22%
52%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1936 |
HER
2 - 0
SEV
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1936 |
HER
4 - 2
SEV
45%
22%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
SEV
3 - 1
HER
66%
18%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |