Avezzano vs Vigor Senigallia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
10º
18º
11º
27
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 59 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 32 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
2 - 1
AVE
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ANC
1 - 0
AVE
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
ISE
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
AVE
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BFM
1 - 3
AVE
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Vigor Senigallia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
VSU
0 - 2
CAS
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VSU
1 - 1
RCF
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BFM
2 - 2
VSU
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
VSU
2 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 2
VSU
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |