Avezzano vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
10º
18º
11º
28
6º
17º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 75 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 62 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 57 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 48 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 46 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 35 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 31 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 25 |
18º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
AVE
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 3
CIV
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
AVE
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 2
SOR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VSU
2 - 1
AVE
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
REC
2 - 0
SAN
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RCF
3 - 2
REC
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
REC
3 - 4
ASD
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAQ
2 - 1
REC
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SSS
1 - 0
REC
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |