Avezzano vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
JES
4 - 2
AVE
45%
24%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
AMI
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ISE
2 - 1
AVE
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 0
FVE
61%
19%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 0
AVE
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
REC
0 - 1
FER
43%
26%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
REC
47%
26%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
REC
1 - 3
SSS
16%
22%
63%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
REC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REC
0 - 0
OLY
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |