Avezzano vs Monticelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 0
AVE
57%
21%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 0
JES
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 2
FRA
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 1
PES
2%
6%
92%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAS
1 - 0
AVE
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LAQ
2 - 1
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
REC
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAM
3 - 0
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
JES
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |