Avezzano vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 1
PES
2%
6%
92%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAS
1 - 0
AVE
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AVE
3 - 0
SSD
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 1
AVE
64%
22%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
OST
32%
26%
42%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FRA
4 - 3
USN
82%
11%
7%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 0
FRA
55%
26%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 1
GEL
48%
25%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CSV
1 - 1
FRA
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 0
MDC
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |