Avezzano vs Fabriano Cerreto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
OLY
1 - 4
AVE
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
AVE
0 - 0
SAN
68%
18%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
USN
0 - 0
AVE
8%
16%
76%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 0
VIS
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
AVE
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 3
SAN
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LAQ
4 - 0
FAB
84%
12%
5%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FAB
3 - 1
REC
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
FAB
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FAB
0 - 3
CAM
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |