Avezzano vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
10º
18º
11º
20
14º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 59 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 32 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 55% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
AVE
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 2
SOR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VSU
2 - 1
AVE
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 3
CHI
52%
27%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 2
SSS
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CIV
1 - 1
SAN
35%
23%
41%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RCF
1 - 0
CIV
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CIV
0 - 2
ASD
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LAQ
3 - 0
CIV
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
CIV
84%
12%
5%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | +15 |