Avezzano vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 0
AVE
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 0
CHI
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 2
SSS
20%
21%
59%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AVE
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
REC
2 - 2
AVE
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 3
SSS
9%
15%
76%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
REC
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
JES
1 - 0
CAS
64%
19%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FVE
2 - 0
CAS
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |