AVS Futebol vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
65.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
18º
17º
12
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 77 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 69 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 68 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 52 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 43 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 38 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 37 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 21% |
|
Mid-table
|
32.5% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
55.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AVS Futebol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
4 - 2
AVE
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 1
NAC
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
RCF
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AVE
6 - 1
ARE
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 0
SPO
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
ZRI
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
ZUR
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ARO
0 - 1
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 3
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |