AVS Futebol vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
18º
18º
22
9º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 77 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 68 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 65 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 45 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 31 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 27 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 27 |
18º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
64% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AVS Futebol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
3 - 1
AVE
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
MOR
1 - 1
AVE
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 1
ESA
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 0
AVE
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 1
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GFC
3 - 1
FCP
22%
24%
53%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GFC
1 - 0
MOR
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
GFC
1 - 1
RIO
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
ARO
1 - 1
GFC
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 0
SCP
19%
22%
60%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |