AVS Futebol vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
18º
18º
24
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 77 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 67 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 31 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 27 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 27 |
18º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
72.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AVS Futebol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 5
FCP
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
OSA
0 - 2
AVE
7%
13%
80%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ARO
1 - 1
AVE
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 0
FAR
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 0
AVE
87%
9%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FAM
0 - 3
SCP
22%
23%
56%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LAG
0 - 2
FAM
5%
14%
81%
|
81 | 25 | 56 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
FAM
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FAM
0 - 0
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
FAM
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |