Avenir Foot Lozère vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avenir Foot Lozère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BOU
1 - 5
AVE
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 1
SAI
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CLE
5 - 0
AVE
39%
22%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AVE
3 - 2
BAS
62%
19%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LIM
1 - 0
AVE
36%
23%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 0
DIV
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BOR
4 - 1
AUR
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
COU
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 3
AUR
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
CSL
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |