Aveley vs Basildon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 1
AVE
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ROM
2 - 0
AVE
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SOH
0 - 1
AVE
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
BOW
3 - 3
AVE
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AVE
3 - 2
HEY
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Basildon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 0
BUR
28%
22%
51%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
BAS
47%
21%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
DER
0 - 3
BAS
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 1
HEY
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
WHI
3 - 5
BAS
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |