FA Cup 1/512
Global 4-3
Aveley vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AVE
1 - 1
BRA
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
AVE
4 - 0
KIN
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KIN
0 - 0
AVE
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 0
AVE
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
MAI
0 - 1
AVE
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 1
DUL
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 2
HOR
13%
18%
69%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WHI
1 - 5
HOR
5%
12%
84%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WIN
1 - 4
HOR
11%
18%
71%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
5 - 0
FAK
79%
13%
7%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |