AG Caennaise vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
44.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
5º
4º
39
3º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
DIV
3 - 1
AGC
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
AGC
2 - 0
AVR
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 1
AGC
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
AGC
3 - 2
QUE
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
AGC
5 - 0
RSP
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
EVR
1 - 3
ALE
62%
22%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 0
OIS
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
DIE
1 - 0
ALE
41%
25%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 0
BAY
85%
11%
5%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
DIV
2 - 0
ALE
21%
21%
57%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -2 |