AG Caennaise vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
57.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
13º
10º
39
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ALE
3 - 1
AGC
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AGC
2 - 3
CHA
48%
22%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
QUE
3 - 2
AGC
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
AGC
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
OIS
3 - 1
AGC
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DIE
1 - 2
CAE
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
OIS
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VHO
3 - 2
CAE
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 3
LEH
67%
19%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 3
LMU
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |