AG Caennaise vs Brétigny Foot analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
13º
13º
24
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 44 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 44 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 41 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 39 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 28 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 26 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 25 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 24 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 23 |
14º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
87.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
AGC
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AGC
1 - 2
AJA
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
AGC
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LMU
5 - 4
AGC
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AGC
2 - 1
FLE
51%
21%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brétigny Foot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 2
CAE
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DIV
0 - 0
BRE
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 1
GRQ
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 3
SML
31%
28%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IVR
1 - 2
BRE
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |